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1. Identificação
Tipo de ReferênciaArtigo em Revista Científica (Journal Article)
Sitemtc-m21d.sid.inpe.br
Código do Detentorisadg {BR SPINPE} ibi 8JMKD3MGPCW/3DT298S
Identificador8JMKD3MGP3W34T/45GQDRP
Repositóriosid.inpe.br/mtc-m21d/2021/09.30.12.26
Última Atualização2021:09.30.12.26.12 (UTC) simone
Repositório de Metadadossid.inpe.br/mtc-m21d/2021/09.30.12.26.12
Última Atualização dos Metadados2022:04.03.22.27.35 (UTC) administrator
DOI10.3390/atmos12091201
ISSN2073-4433
Chave de CitaçãoNobreVendBast:2021:ImEnDa
TítuloImpact of ensemble-variational data assimilation in heavy rain forecast over brazilian northeast
Ano2021
MêsSept.
Data de Acesso19 maio 2024
Tipo de Trabalhojournal article
Tipo SecundárioPRE PI
Número de Arquivos1
Tamanho24259 KiB
2. Contextualização
Autor1 Nobre, João Pedro Gonçalves
2 Vendrasco, Éder Paulo
3 Bastarz, Carlos Frederico
ORCID1
2
3 0000-0001-5402-7979
Grupo1 MET-MET-DIPGR-INPE-MCTI-GOV-BR
2 DIMNT-CGCT-INPE-MCTI-GOV-BR
3 DIMNT-CGCT-INPE-MCTI-GOV-BR
Afiliação1 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)
2 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)
3 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)
Endereço de e-Mail do Autor1 joao.nobre@inpe.br
2 eder.vendrasco@inpe.br
3 carlos.bastarz@inpe.br
RevistaAtmosphere
Volume12
Número9
Páginase1201
Nota SecundáriaB3_ENGENHARIAS_III B3_ENGENHARIAS_I B3_CIÊNCIAS_AMBIENTAIS B4_ENGENHARIAS_II B5_GEOCIÊNCIAS
Histórico (UTC)2021-09-30 12:26:12 :: simone -> administrator ::
2021-09-30 12:26:14 :: administrator -> simone :: 2021
2021-09-30 12:26:38 :: simone -> administrator :: 2021
2022-04-03 22:27:35 :: administrator -> simone :: 2021
3. Conteúdo e estrutura
É a matriz ou uma cópia?é a matriz
Estágio do Conteúdoconcluido
Transferível1
Tipo do ConteúdoExternal Contribution
Tipo de Versãopublisher
Palavras-Chave3DEnVar
GSI
Mesoscale convective systems
WRF
ResumoThe Brazilian Northeast (BNE) is located in the tropical region of Brazil. It is bounded by the Atlantic Ocean, and its climate and vegetation are strongly affected by continental plateaus. The plateaus keep the humid air masses to the east and are responsible for the rain episodes, and at the west side the northeastern hinterland and dry air masses are observed. This work is a case study that aims to evaluate the impact of updating the model initial condition using the 3DEnVar (Three-Dimensional Ensemble Variational) system in heavy rain episodes associated with Mesoscale Convective Systems (MCS). The results were compared to 3DVar (Three-Dimensional Variational) and EnSRF (Ensemble Square Root Filter) systems and with no data assimilation. The study enclosed two MCS cases occurring on 14 and 24 January 2017. For that purpose, the RMS (Regional Modeling System) version 3.0.0, maintained by the Center for Weather Forecasting and Climate Studies (CPTEC), used two components: the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) mesoscale model and the GSI (Gridpoint Statistical Interpolation) data assimilation system. Currently, the RMS provides the WRF initial conditions by using 3DVar data assimilation methodology. The 3DVar uses a climatological covariance matrix to minimize model errors. In this work, the 3DEnVar updates the RMS climatological covariance matrix through the forecast members based on the errors of the day. This work evaluated the improvements in the detection and estimation of 24 h accumulated precipitation in MCS events. The statistic index RMSE (Root Mean Square Error) showed that the hybrid data assimilation system (3DEnVar) performed better in reproducing the precipitation in the MCS occurred on 14 January 2017. On 24 January 2017, the EnSRF was the best system for improving the WRF forecast. In general, the BIAS showed that the WRF initialized with different initial conditions overestimated the 24 h accumulated precipitation. Therefore, the viability of using a hybrid system may depend on the hybrid algorithm that can modify the weights attributed to the EnSRF and 3DVar matrix in the GSI over the assimilation cycles.
ÁreaMET
ArranjoFonds > Produção a partir de 2021 > CGCT > Impact of ensemble-variational...
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4. Condições de acesso e uso
URL dos dadoshttp://mtc-m21d.sid.inpe.br/ibi/8JMKD3MGP3W34T/45GQDRP
URL dos dados zipadoshttp://mtc-m21d.sid.inpe.br/zip/8JMKD3MGP3W34T/45GQDRP
Idiomaen
Arquivo Alvonobre_impact.pdf
Grupo de Usuáriossimone
Grupo de Leitoresadministrator
simone
Visibilidadeshown
Política de Arquivamentoallowpublisher allowfinaldraft
Permissão de Atualizaçãonão transferida
5. Fontes relacionadas
Unidades Imediatamente Superiores8JMKD3MGPCW/3F35TRS
8JMKD3MGPCW/46KUATE
Lista de Itens Citandosid.inpe.br/bibdigital/2013/10.15.01.34 1
DivulgaçãoWEBSCI; PORTALCAPES; SCOPUS.
Acervo Hospedeirourlib.net/www/2021/06.04.03.40
6. Notas
Campos Vaziosalternatejournal archivist callnumber copyholder copyright creatorhistory descriptionlevel e-mailaddress format isbn label lineage mark mirrorrepository nextedition notes parameterlist parentrepositories previousedition previouslowerunit progress project readpermission resumeid rightsholder schedulinginformation secondarydate secondarykey session shorttitle sponsor subject tertiarymark tertiarytype url
7. Controle da descrição
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